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陕西省低碳经济发展水平区域差异、收敛性及内在机理 分析
唐娟莉1, 高远2, 倪永良3
1.(通讯作者):西安石油大学经济管理学院,副教授,juanlitang@126.com;2.西安石油大学经济管理学院,硕士研究生;3.西安石油大学经济管理学院,助理研究员
摘要:
低碳经济是实现双碳目标的重要手 段,同时也是实现经济高质量发展的关键。 文章基于2011—2022 年陕西省10 个地市的 面板数据,利用熵权法,从能源结构等六个 维度选取指标,对陕西低碳经济发展水平进 行测度,在此基础上运用Dagum 基尼系数、 核密度估计和空间收敛模型,揭示低碳经济 发展水平区域差异来源、动态演变及收敛特 征, 最后采用二次指派程序(Quadratic Assignment Procedure, QAP)的方法,考察 了陕西低碳经济发展差异的内在机理。研究 发现:第一,陕西省及各区域低碳经济发展 水平呈现出逐年提高态势;第二,区域间差 异是低碳经济发展水平失衡的主要来源;第 三,陕南地区存在σ 收敛特征,陕西、关中 和陕南均存在绝对β 收敛特征;第四,除低 碳产业外,其余各维度发展差异均对低碳经 济发展差异有显著正向作用。最后根据实证 研究结果,整体把握陕西省低碳经济发展水 平及各城市之间的发展差异,为陕西省如何 提高低碳经济发展水平,加快向低碳经济社 会转型提供切合实际的建议。
关键词:  低碳经济  区域差异  动态演进  收敛性  内在机理
DOI:10.13791/j.cnki.hsfwest.20241023003
分类号:
基金项目:陕西省社会科学基金项目(2022D016);西安石油大学研究生创新与实践能力培养计划资助项目(YCS22214296)
Analysis on regional difference, convergence and internal mechanism of low carboneconomy development level in Shaanxi Province
TANG Juanli,GAO Yuan,NI Yongliang
Abstract:
Low-carbon economy constitutes a critical pathway to achieving China’s dual carbon goals and a core driver of high-quality economic development, integrating environmental sustainability with long-term economic growth momentum. As a major energy province and a key national comprehensive energy security base, Shaanxi Province bears unshirkable political responsibilities for ensuring stable energy supply—its abundant fossil energy reserves and strategic geographical location make it an indispensable pillar of national energy security, while also imposing the arduous task of reconciling energy production with low-carbon transition. Based on panel data of 10 prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi from 2011 to 2022, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for low-carbon economic development, incorporating 33 basic indicators across six interconnected dimensions: energy structure, low-carbon industry, low-carbon innovation, low-carbon society, lowcarbon environment, and economic development. The entropy weight method is adopted for objective evaluation, as it quantifies indicator weights based on information entropy without subjective biases, ensuring the reliability of the low-carbon development level measurement. On this basis, three quantitative methods are employed to explore regional characteristics: the Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method to identify sources of regional disparities; kernel density estimation to visualize the dynamic evolution of development level distributions; and two classic spatial convergence models to test long-term trends in regional disparity. Finally, the Quadratic Assignment Procedure (QAP) is utilized to examine the intrinsic mechanisms of regional differences, leveraging its advantage in addressing spatial dependence in cross-sectional data. The empirical findings are as follows first, from 2011 to 2022, the low-carbon economic development level of Shaanxi Province as a whole, its three major regions, and all 10 prefecture-level cities exhibited a steady upward trend. This progress is attributed to the implementation of national low-carbon strategies, regional industrial structure optimization, and increased investment in energy conservation and environmental protection. Notably, however, unbalanced development persisted across regions and cities, stemming from disparities in resource endowments, industrial bases, technological capabilities, and policy implementation effects. Secondly, the overall regional disparity in Shaanxi’s low-carbon economic development showed a gradual expanding trend. Decomposition results of the Dagum Gini coefficient indicate that inter-regional disparity is the primary source of overall imbalance, as divergent development conditions and resource allocation across regions lead to heterogeneous growth trajectories. Among these, the gap between Guanzhong and Southern Shaanxi is particularly prominent, reflecting significant differences in economic foundation, technological innovation capacity, and industrial transformation speed between the two regions. Thirdly, regarding convergence characteristics: σ -convergence is absent in Shaanxi as a whole, Guanzhong, and Northern Shaanxi, meaning the relative gap in low-carbon development among cities in these regions did not narrowover time. In contrast, Southern Shaanxi exhibits significant σ-convergence, driven by coordinated development policies and ecological protection efforts that reduce intra-regional disparities. Furthermore, Shaanxi Province, Guanzhong, and Southern Shaanxi all demonstrate absolute β-convergence, indicating lagging cities have faster low-carbon development growth rates and the potential to catch up with leading cities over time. Guanzhong’s convergence speed is significantly faster than that of Southern Shaanxi, primarily due to its advantages in talent aggregation, technological spillover, and industrial agglomeration, which accelerate the diffusion of low-carbon technologies and models. Fourth, QAP analysis results reveal that except for low-carbon industry, development disparities in the other five dimensions exert a significant positive impact on low-carbon economic development gaps. Among these factors, low-carbon innovation has the strongest effect, underscoring that the uneven distribution of innovation resources is the key driver of regional disparities.
Key words:  low-carbon economy  regional differences  dynamic evolution  convergence  intrinsic mechanism