| 摘要: |
| 对于城市工业用地规模的预
测，传统方法因忽略未来发展中的变化
因素而体现出预测的局限性。针对跨越
式发展城市的工业用地规模预测方法，
以长寿中心城区为例，从工业化进程入
手，依据不同阶段工业用地的发展特点
进行预测。再结合长寿中心城区工业发
展目标反向推导，综合预测城市的工业用
地规模。 |
| 关键词: 工业用地-规模 跨越式发展 工业化进程 预测方法 长寿 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目: |
|
| Discussions on Forecasting Method of Urban Industrial Land Scale— A Case Study of Central Area in Changshou District of Chongqing |
|
LU Peng,ZHOU Jin
|
| Abstract: |
| In terms of forecasting the urban industrial land scale, there existed some
limitations in traditional methods due to their ignorance of variation factors in the future
development of city. According to the leap-forward development method of predicting
urban industrial land scale, this paper took the central area of Changshou district as an
example, and carried out predictions based on the characteristics of the different stages
of the development of industrial land in the perspective of industrialization process.
Combined with the industrial development goals of central area in Changshou district, it
then reversed the deduction in order to comprehensively forecast the industrial land scale. |
| Key words: Industrial Land Scale Leap-forward Development Industrialization Process Forecasting Method Changshou District |
