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基于P-S-R模型法的城乡居民点建设用地规模预测 ——以重庆市长寿区城乡总体规划为例
陈前池1, 周   琎2
1.重庆大学建筑城规学院,2010级硕士研究生;2.重庆大学建筑城规学院,2009级博士研究生
摘要:
《城乡规划法》的颁布实施对 城乡总体规划中建设用地的规模和分布 提出了新的要求,在此背景下,通过对重 庆市长寿区城乡居民点现状建设用地分 布特征的评述,提出依托人口单因子评 价方法不能准确、客观地预测建设用地 的增长趋势,进而探讨了在P-S-R模型 的基础上通过多因子分析预测城乡居民 点建设用地规模的新方法,同时评价了 预测结果,以期为相关实践提供建设性 意见。
关键词:  城乡规划  城乡居民点建设用 地  P-S-R模型法  规模预测  重庆市长 寿区
DOI:
分类号:
基金项目:
The Prediction of Construction Land Scale in the Urban and Rural Settlement Based on P-S-R Model— Taking Urban and Rural Overall Planning in Changshou District of Chongqing as an Example
CHEN Qianchi,ZHOU Jin
Abstract:
The promulgation and implementation of ‘Urban and Rural Planning Act’ presented new requirements for scale and distribution of construction land in urban-rural overall planning. This paper illustrated the distribution characteristics of construction land in the urban and rural settlement of Changshou District, Chongqing, and it’s found that single factor evaluation method can’t accurately and objectively predict the growing trend of construction land. It explored the new method of predicting scale of construction land in the urban and rural settlement based on the P- S-R model through more than one factor analysis and it also evaluated the predicted results. It’s expected that it will provide constructive suggestions for related practice.
Key words:  Urban and Rural Planning  Urban and Rural Settlement  Scale Prediction  Changshou District of Chongqing